|
|
Shiites, Sunnis, "The Others" and their Agendas
Matters have continued to worsen in Iraq
for the past few years. What is important to understand about this
turmoil is that what may seem like a country specific conflict is
slowly spreading regionally and has the potential to spread
globally. Everyone regardless of their geographical location could
be impacted as a result of this mayhem directly or indirectly. This
article summarizes three basic questions about this conflict – What
are the current facts? What is at risk and what could be done to
contain the situation?
Many groups exist within the Shias and
Sunnis. The first Shia (Shiite) group includes parties blessed by
Ayatollah al-Sistani, while the other is the one led by Al-Sadr. On
the Sunni side, one group (the insurgency) includes Iraqis as well
as the foreign fighters. The other Sunni group on the other hand has
shown some willingness to participate in the political process and
has been cooperating with the US and it’s allies. Most of the Kurds
fall into that group.
|
|
The Current Facts in Iraq |
|
|
The
situation in Iraq is very worrisome. It’s worrisome for all concerned parties –
The soldiers in the middle of the battlefield, for the masses of Iraq, for
Muslims all over the world, and for the region in general. All should be
worried. If anyone is getting used to the situation by hearing the same news
daily, then the fact that the situation in Iraq could have a potential global
impact should be a wakeup call for everyone. Here are the critical facts:
|
-
Multi-party Battleground – Iraq started out as a battlefield for
the American led allied forces and Saddam Hussein’s Baath party loyalists.
Later, it transformed into a battlefield for the Sunni insurgents and the
American led forces. Now, a few months later, the battlefield has become a
many-to-many fighting gala. Hostilities exist between different Sunni and
Shiite groups and fighting rages on at different levels. The Americans and
Sunni insurgency are fighting daily battles and now Sunni and Shiite groups
from the general population have started to engage each other as well. Many
incidents have led to this. Shiites in general have started to believe that
Sunni’s are after killing all Shiites. Sunnis on the other hand do not trust
the Iraqi police that are largely made up of Shiites. Recently, these
hostilities have even been further fueled after allegations of rape by
Shiite led Iraqi forces against Sunni women. All groups are fighting and
chasing away the other from towns, cities and villages across the country.
-
The
Sunni apprehension:
– The Middle Eastern media is replete
with assertions and conspiracy theories regarding the Shiite movement to
spread Shiism across all Muslim nations. One of the Jordanian newspapers
wrote about the Shiite conspirators' agenda to “assassinate key Sunni
leaders." Iran is being blamed by some to spearhead the agenda of reviving
the Persian Safavid dynasty, which came to power in the 16th century.
True
or not, the fact that the Sunni street in the Middle East has started to buy
into the alleged Shiite (Shia) agenda, poses a grave danger. The emergence
of the first Arab Shiite leadership in recent times is making more people
convinced about this agenda. The situation in Iraq poses a great danger in
fueling Shiite (Shia) Sunni tensions even in countries that to date seem to
be safe from this turmoil. With Sunnis believing that Shiites are out to
convert all Sunnis to Shiaism and raping their women, while Shiites
believing that Sunnis are out to kill all Shiites is setting the stage for
the emergence of worldwide hatred between the Shiites and Sunnis – something
that every Muslim should fear and take very seriously.
-
Conflicting
regional agendas: – Various regional
Iraqi neighbors have their own conflicting agendas. Iran for example wants
to see a Shia controlled government. On the other hand, other Sunni Gulf
States would rather have a Sunni controlled government in Iraq. The regional
powers’ agendas therefore will have to be reconciled before a clam is to be
expected.
-
“Us versus them”: Questions
remain whether Sunnis and Shiites are truly killing each other in Iraq based
on hatred of each other’s religious convictions or whether it’s just an “us
versus them” mentality that has engulfed even the secular minded Shiites and
Sunnis. One wonders about this as years of Saddam rule rarely saw hatred of
such levels. Saddam did not oppress Shiites because of their religious
beliefs – rather he eliminated anyone who challenged his power, including
Sunnis. On the same token, he had Shiites and Christians both in his inner
circle.
If
this is true, then something will have to done at the government levels
because the US vs. THEM mentality has caused more bloodshed in human history
than any other reason.
|
| What
is at risk in Iraq and elsewhere? |
|
More than the future of Iraq itself,
a lot more is at stake including the following –
-
The Shiite Sunni
divide though existed in the Islamic world has never reached
this level before. At this rate of incitement being triggered by
both parties, the Sunni Shiite (Shia) hatred is bound to spread
throughout the Islamic world. Listening to stories in the media
about Sunnis killing Shias and Shiite militias raping Sunni
women are just the early sparks of this hatred. This has the
potential of sparking local unrest within countries which has a
Shiite population. Pakistan, India, Lebanon, Saudi-Arabia, Gulf
countries and many others have a large Shiite population. Some
Arab newspapers have already been reporting about an alleged
scheme by Shiite militias to murder Sunni religious leaders.
Shiite newspapers mention about similar allegations. Case in
point – In November 2006, the Associated Press reported that “A
previously unknown extremist group has warned that "Shiite death
squads" acting under Iranian religious edicts are preparing to
attack Sunni Muslims in Lebanon.” One wonders if it’s going to
even get better, especially after clerics and some religious
leaders within Iraq are promoting direct killings of the other
sect.
-
The economies of the world are at stake. The US is pouring lots
of money into the battles and reconstruction of Iraq. This is
bound to have an impact on its economy sooner or later, if it
has not already. Unrest in other countries will impact their
local economies as well. Lebanon is an example where Shiite
HezbAllah is determined to root out the current Sunni
government. This tension has resulted in days of street
agitation, and strikes that is crippling Lebanon’s economy.
-
With Iraq as the second largest
source of oil in the world, what happens in Iraq also influences
oil prices around the world. That in turn can seriously
influence the economy of various countries of the world
dependant on foreign oil.
|
| What
needs to be done? |
|
Iraq will not stabilize until the
various forces fighting within it give up their agendas, reconcile
their agendas or are forced to relinquish their agendas for the sake
of one national agenda. The fact that multiple parties’ interests
are being pushed concurrently is helping shaping up the battles as
well as the destruction of Iraq. One would think that the decision
should be solely that of the people of Iraq. They are the ones who
should really determine the future of their country. However, the
US’s interests, the regional powers, the foreign fighters’
insurgency, the internal insurgency, and the Shiite majority – ALL
have different agendas for Iraq. Forcing their agendas on Iraq is
what is resulting in this bloodletting.
Some of the steps that can be taken
to potentially bring some calm within Iraq include the following –
-
Regional powers must be engaged
to help bring some calm to the region. The recently issued Baker
Hamilton report recommended engaging the regional powers. This
makes logical sense as regional powers and their influences are
stirring up the heat in Iraq’s battlegrounds. For example, the
US itself has discovered recently that Iran’s Quds force is
purportedly actively involved in Iraq. As mentioned earlier,
Iran would prefer a Shiite government in Iraq. Along the same
lines, the regional Sunni countries see a Shiite government in
Iraq as potentially providing certain kind of leadership to the
Shiites living in the Sunni dominated countries. Therefore,
direct or indirect, the influences of the regional powers are
great in shaping the future of Iraq and only mutual discussions
can shape those influences for the better.
As conditions continue to worsen, the
US must engage the regional powers at a grand scale to help bring
calm to the country whose population suffers numerous civil
casualties daily. Use of force as the sole measure will only result
in an equal and opposing force causing continued numerous civilian
casualties.
Click here to send
this Page To
others Opinions /
Comments? Write to IqraSense [at] HilalPlaza.com
|
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright ©2003-2007
HilalPlaza.com
All Rights Reserved Worldwide |
|